Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.