Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rukh Brest in this match.