Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Mar 18, 2023 at 11am UK
Stadyen Budaŭnik
Ahmedi (14'), Kovalevich (58')
Hruzheuski (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pukhov (30')
Tamelo (88'), Bruy (90+5')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Shakhtyor Soligorsk and Naftan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.
| Result |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Naftan |
59% ( 0.47) | 23.61% ( -0.03) | 17.38% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( -0.71) |
| 46.26% ( -0.52) | 53.73% ( 0.52) |
| 24.78% ( -0.43) | 75.21% ( 0.43) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| 82.04% ( -0.02) | 17.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.2% ( -0.03) | 48.79% ( 0.03) |
| 55.43% ( -0.85) | 44.56% ( 0.85) |
