SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
58.72% ( -2.41) | 23.98% ( 1.01) | 17.3% ( 1.4) |
| Both teams to score 44.33% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( -1.63) | 55.19% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( -1.35) | 76.43% ( 1.35) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( -1.47) | 18.6% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.1% ( -2.53) | 49.89% ( 2.53) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.46% ( 0.86) | 45.53% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.64% ( 0.67) | 81.35% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.39)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.56)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.38)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.18)Other @ 3% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.48% Total : 17.3% |
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