SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
32.46% ( 0.74) | 27.95% ( 0.5) | 39.6% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.59% ( -1.66) | 58.42% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.99% ( -1.32) | 79.02% ( 1.32) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( -0.34) | 33.3% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% ( -0.38) | 69.92% ( 0.38) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( -1.48) | 28.78% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.37% ( -1.89) | 64.63% ( 1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.45% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.59% |
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