Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Slavia Mozyr win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.