Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for BATE Borisov in this match.
