Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.