Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.