Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.