SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 15 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Slutsk | 15 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | Belshina | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | BATE Borisov | 15 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Isloch | 15 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 15 | 5 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slutsk | Draw | Isloch |
32.96% ( 0.08) | 27.16% ( 0.05) | 39.89% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.66% ( -0.16) | 55.34% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.45% ( -0.13) | 76.55% ( 0.14) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( -0.03) | 31.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( -0.03) | 67.74% ( 0.03) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( -0.15) | 27.15% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.45% ( -0.19) | 62.55% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slutsk | Draw | Isloch |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.88% |
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