SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 12 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | BATE Borisov | 11 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 12 | 7 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Gomel | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Slutsk | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Belshina | 12 | -2 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Slutsk |
55.38% ( -0.05) | 24.07% ( 0.02) | 20.55% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% ( -0.03) | 51.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( -0.03) | 73.19% ( 0.03) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( -0.03) | 18.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.41% ( -0.05) | 49.59% ( 0.05) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.44% ( 0.02) | 39.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( 0.02) | 76.25% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Slutsk |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 55.36% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 20.55% |
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