SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Slutsk | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 12 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Vitebsk | 13 | -8 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Belshina | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Slutsk | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 12 | -5 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Slutsk |
42.46% ( -0.37) | 27.26% ( 0.08) | 30.29% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.54% ( -0.18) | 56.46% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.54% ( -0.15) | 77.46% ( 0.15) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( -0.28) | 26.29% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% ( -0.38) | 61.41% ( 0.38) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% ( 0.12) | 33.84% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.49% ( 0.13) | 70.5% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Slutsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 30.29% |
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