Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smolevichi win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smolevichi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Smolevichi would win this match.