Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Smorgon | Draw | BATE Borisov |
18.95% ( -0.03) | 24.38% ( 0.11) | 56.67% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 46% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.51% ( -0.45) | 54.49% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.15% ( -0.37) | 75.85% ( 0.38) |
Smorgon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.87% ( -0.3) | 43.13% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.6% ( -0.25) | 79.4% ( 0.26) |
BATE Borisov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% ( -0.2) | 19.11% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.26% ( -0.33) | 50.74% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Smorgon | Draw | BATE Borisov |
1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.95% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 13.64% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 11.28% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 56.67% |
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