Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gomel in this match.
