Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Gomel win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
