Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.