Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
