Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 2-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
