Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
