Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
