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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5
Aug 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
3 - 1
Union SG

Cuypers (13'), Shved (55'), Storm (77')
de Souza Costa (8'), Shved (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vanzeir (1')
Vanzeir (69'), Sorinola (90+1'), Nieuwkoop (90+3')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Union SG.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.66%) and 0-2 (5.01%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MechelenDrawUnion SG
36.73%22.45%40.81%
Both teams to score 67.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.87%33.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.13%54.87%
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22%18.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82%50.18%
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99%17.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86%47.14%
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 36.73%
    Union SG 40.81%
    Draw 22.45%
MechelenDrawUnion SG
2-1 @ 7.91%
1-0 @ 5.34%
2-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.04%
4-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.73%
1-1 @ 9.46%
2-2 @ 7.01%
0-0 @ 3.19%
3-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.31%
3-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 40.81%

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