Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.