Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.