Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.