Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
