Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
