Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Zulte Waregem win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leuven in this match.