SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Genk | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Royal Antwerp | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | KV Oostende | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leuven | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Genk | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Royal Antwerp | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Leuven |
57.45% ( -0.14) | 22.8% ( 0.18) | 19.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.77) | 47.23% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -0.72) | 69.46% ( 0.73) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.31) | 16.18% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.35% ( -0.58) | 45.65% ( 0.59) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.97% ( -0.47) | 38.03% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.2% ( -0.46) | 74.8% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Leuven |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 57.43% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.75% |
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