Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
