SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 17 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 18 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leuven | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Royal Antwerp | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Union SG | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.03%) and 0-1 (4.9%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
37.33% ( 0.03) | 21.78% ( -0.03) | 40.88% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 70.17% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.41% ( 0.14) | 29.59% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.3% ( 0.17) | 50.69% ( -0.18) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 0.07) | 16.94% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( 0.13) | 47.01% ( -0.14) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( 0.06) | 15.51% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% ( 0.11) | 44.42% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% 3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 40.88% |
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