Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
