Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.