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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 16
Dec 12, 2020 at 3.15pm UK
Stade Le Canonnier

Mouscron
3 - 1
Beerschot VA

Onana (12'), da Costa (57'), Tabekou (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Holzhauser (82')
Holzhauser (7'), Prychynenko (48')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Royal Excel Mouscron and Beerschot Wilrijk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beerschot Wilrijk win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Royal Excel MouscronDrawBeerschot Wilrijk
35.01%24.88%40.11%
Both teams to score 57.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69%45.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35%67.65%
Royal Excel Mouscron Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05%59.95%
Beerschot Wilrijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5%22.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93%56.07%
Score Analysis
    Royal Excel Mouscron 35.01%
    Beerschot Wilrijk 40.11%
    Draw 24.87%
Royal Excel MouscronDrawBeerschot Wilrijk
2-1 @ 8.03%
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.01%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-1 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 4.32%
0-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.11%

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