Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beerschot Wilrijk win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
