Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gent in this match.
