Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gent in this match.