Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
