Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.