SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | RFC Seraing |
| 62.73% | 19.54% | 17.72% |
| Both teams to score 59.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.44% | 35.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.38% | 57.61% |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.13% | 10.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.02% | 34.97% |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% | 33.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.07% | 69.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | RFC Seraing |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 7.25% 3-0 @ 6.6% 4-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 3.99% 4-0 @ 3.66% 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.63% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.85% Total : 62.73% | 1-1 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 4.85% 0-1 @ 3.98% 0-2 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.96% Total : 17.72% |
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