Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.