SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club Brugge | 39 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Union SG | 39 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Gent | 40 | 30 | 74 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 39 | 37 | 71 |
| 5 | Royal Antwerp | 39 | 9 | 64 |
| 6 | Genk | 40 | 21 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
53.58% ( 0.63) | 24.44% ( -0.08) | 21.97% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.72% ( -0.24) | 51.28% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% ( -0.21) | 73.11% ( 0.21) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( 0.15) | 19.07% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.32% ( 0.25) | 50.68% ( -0.25) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% ( -0.67) | 38.07% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( -0.65) | 74.84% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.58% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.57% Total : 21.97% |
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