Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 76.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 9.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-2 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
