Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
