Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Waasland-Beveren win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kortrijk would win this match.