SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Leuven |
47.56% ( -0.22) | 23.06% ( 0.02) | 29.38% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 62.05% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.09% ( 0.05) | 38.9% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.78% ( 0.06) | 61.22% ( -0.06) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -0.06) | 16.68% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% ( -0.11) | 46.55% ( 0.11) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( 0.16) | 25.53% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( 0.22) | 60.38% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 4.32% Total : 47.56% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.38% |
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