SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Leuven |
54.01% ( 0.13) | 22.77% ( -0.1) | 23.21% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.04% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% ( 0.38) | 42.86% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% ( 0.38) | 65.26% ( -0.38) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( 0.18) | 15.82% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( 0.33) | 44.99% ( -0.33) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( 0.18) | 32.23% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.27% ( 0.2) | 68.73% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.21% |
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