SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | RFC Seraing |
49.51% ( 0.07) | 24.23% ( -0.02) | 26.26% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.52% ( 0.05) | 46.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% ( 0.05) | 68.75% ( -0.05) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.17% ( 0.05) | 18.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.73% ( 0.08) | 50.26% ( -0.08) |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0.01) | 31.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( -0.01) | 68.08% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | RFC Seraing |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 26.26% |
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