SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
43.26% ( 0.09) | 23.76% | 32.98% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.42% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.45% ( -0.03) | 40.55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( -0.03) | 62.93% ( 0.03) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( 0.03) | 19.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.38% ( 0.04) | 50.62% ( -0.04) |
| RWD Molenbeek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.07) | 24.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( -0.1) | 58.44% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.98% |
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