Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
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