Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
Charleroi	Draw	Westerlo
46.75% ( 0.05)	24.11% ( -0.02)	29.14% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.16% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.04% (

0.06)

43.95% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.66% (

0.05)

66.34% (

-0.06)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

0.04)

18.95% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.52% (

0.07)

50.47% (

-0.07)

Westerlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

28.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

0.01)

63.94% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Charleroi 46.75%

Westerlo 29.14%

Draw 24.1%

Charleroi	Draw	Westerlo
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 46.75%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.14%